A MAED Model Analysis of Biomass and Biofuels Demand in Nigeria

Authors

  • Aminu Haruna Isa
  • Johnson O. Ojosu
  • Promise U. Chukwu
  • Joseph S. Olayande

Abstract

Biomass forms 85% of the energy resources commonly utilized for cooking and heating in the rural areas of Nigeria where about 60% of the population lives. The total consumption of biomass in Nigeria grows from 153 million tons in 2007 to 160 million tons in 2009. Hitherto, the demand for energy from biomass resources keeps increasing despite efforts to introduce the use of biofuels. Also, the supply failed to meet the demand due to insufficient biomass resources. These cause a lot of hardship and palpable poverty in rural households. There have been several efforts in the past to replace the use of traditional biomass such as fuelwood, agricultural wastes and animal droppings as energy resources, with modern biofuels such as briquettes, biofuels (biodiesel and ethanol) and biogas, and also the use of improved wood stove. But all these efforts turned out to be inadequate for the supply to meet the demand. This paper examines bioenergy demand and the factors that affect its use in Nigeria. The IAEA’s Model for Analysis of Energy Demand (MAED) was used to evaluate bioenergy demand in Nigeria in three scenarios: reference (7%); high growth (10%); and optimistic (13%), over the periods 2005 – 2030. Emphasis is placed on the use of biofuels, biogas and charcoal for activities in household and services sectors and biodiesel for the transport sector. Also analyzed are their conversion technologies and appliances, in addition to the profiles of the consumers. An analysis of the results obtained shows that the demand for biomass is projected to be replaced by biofuels, briquettes, biogas and charcoal over the period of study.
Keywords: Biomass Resources, Biofuels, Energy Consumption, Demand, MAED Model

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Published

2014-08-25

Issue

Vol. 5 No. 2 (2014)

Section

Research Article

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